Russian Central Banker Warns of Higher Inflation Due to Putin’s Draft

 

  • Putin ordered a “partial mobilization” of military reservists in September, prompting many to flee.
  • Russia’s top central banker Nabiullina has now warned of higher inflation, thanks to Putin’s military draft.
  • She said the draft could lead to structural changes in the labor market, leading to higher labor costs.

Russia’s top central banker has warned of worsening inflation and structural changes to the country’s labor force, thanks to President Vladimir Putin’s “partial mobilization” of the country’s military reservists in September.

Bank of Russia Governor Elvira Nabiullina said in a Friday statement that the call-up is a “new factor” influencing price trends, while referencing a “deep transformation” in Russia’s economy.

Nabiullina said that Putin’s draft could send prices lower in the near term, as consumer demand falls, but prices may start rising later, due to “changes in the structure of the labour market and a shortage of some specialists.” 

The country’s top central banker made the assessment as the bank held key interest rate at 7.5%, after cutting it six times this year. The bank had hiked rates to 20% just days after the invasion of Ukraine. The Russian central bank expects the country’s inflation rate to hit 12% to 13% in 2022.

Putin’s partial mobilization order has wreaked havoc among Russians and sent many fleeing the draft. Reports from neighboring countries put the number at more than 300,000, according to a Washington Post report on October 16.

Despite the negative fallout from Putin’s draft, Nabiullina hedged her bleak outlook on the economy and said the economy “has been adapting to the external restrictions more quickly,” in part, due to record-high farm harvests this year.

Nabiullina’s statement came after research from the Bank of Russia showed the country’s economic activity stalled in September. The economy had appeared to be holding up following rounds of sweeping sanctions over the Ukraine war, thanks to firm energy prices. 

In a report last Wednesday, the central bank’s research unit warned of further impact from Putin’s draft, as it could make it harder for companies to hire in Russia — where unemployment has hit a record low — in turn, “holding back overall economic activity in the coming months.” 

 

FINANCE | How do you have to pay for short-term monetary targets? – The Livingston Parish Information

 

As you undergo life, you’ll doubtless have long- and short-term monetary targets. However how will your methods for assembly your long-term targets differ from these wanted on your short-term ones?

 

For those who’re like most individuals, your largest long-term objective is attaining a snug retirement. And for this objective, a typical technique is placing away cash in tax-advantaged retirement autos, comparable to your 401(ok) and IRA.

So, how do you have to go about getting ready for shorter-term targets, comparable to a household trip, residence renovation, marriage ceremony or main buy?

For starters, decide what your objective is, how a lot you’ll be able to spend on it and whenever you’ll want the cash. Even if you happen to can’t pinpoint a exact quantity, you’ll be able to develop an excellent estimate. After all, the earlier you begin this course of, the higher off you’ll be, since you’ll have extra time to save lots of.

Your subsequent determination entails the way wherein you save on your short-term objective. Particularly, what financial savings or funding autos do you have to use? The reply shall be totally different for everybody, however it is advisable make it possible for your investments align along with your danger tolerance and time horizon. And also you’ll need to guarantee, as a lot as attainable, {that a} sure sum of money is accessible for you on the particular time you’ll want it.

For those who aren’t capable of save sufficient to succeed in a short-term objective, you could have different choices — you’ll be able to borrow what you want, or you’ll be able to doubtlessly promote investments to cowl the associated fee. How are you going to determine which selection is finest?

To assist make up your thoughts, you’ll first need to think about a number of the commonest borrowing choices: bank cards, residence fairness loans, private loans and margin loans. (A margin mortgage helps you to borrow towards the worth of investments you already personal). How may every of those loans match into your general monetary technique? Will the reimbursement schedule work along with your money circulation and funds?

You’ll then need to examine the prices and advantages of borrowing, in no matter type, towards promoting investments. For instance, if you happen to can borrow at a decrease rate of interest in comparison with the return you assume you will get out of your investments, borrowing could be an affordable selection. You’ll additionally want to think about different components, comparable to your credit score rating, taxes, charges related to promoting investments and time wanted to repay money owed. If, for example, promoting investments will set off a considerable amount of taxes, borrowing could be preferable. You’ll additionally need to think about whether or not there’s a penalty or excessive prices related to promoting investments. As well as, you probably have a very long time horizon for a mortgage, you could need to promote investments to keep away from paying curiosity for an extended time frame, and thus driving up the general price of borrowing. Lastly, remember the fact that you’ll have constructed an funding combine designed to align along with your targets and danger tolerance. For those who have been to promote any of those investments to satisfy short-term wants, you’d need to think about the necessity to rebalance your portfolio to take care of your required asset allocation.

As you’ll be able to see, there’s lots to consider in relation to paying for short-term targets. However by fastidiously evaluating your choices, you may make the alternatives which are proper on your wants.

Kevin Feige explains why it took so long for Namor to join the MCU

 

With Namor the Sub-Mariner finally making his debut in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Kevin Feige explains why it took so long

Kevin Feige explains why it took Namor so long to hit the big screen and how Ryan Coogler prepared him for it. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever. Before Feige was a major player at Marvel Studios, Avi Arad ran the company and helped solidify many Marvel characters as household names for a new generation. Since Arad did not believe that a common cinematic world could work at the time, the film rights to several characters were sold to different studios who all had their own ideas of how to adapt the characters. One of the Marvel characters that would be stuck in developmental limbo for years was Namor, the Sub-Mariner.

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One of the Namor films has been in development since 1997 with Universal Pictures behind the production. The intent was to tell an environmental story about Namur’s attempt to save Atlantis from pollution and underwater nuclear testing. Filmmakers like Philip Kaufman, Chris Columbus, and Jonathan Mostow have all been associated with the direct at some point, but none of them survive. Project Namor has collapsed, and ownership of the film rights has been stuck in limbo with neither Universal nor Marvel Studios really controlling who can adapt the story of the Underwater Prince. It will take another two years before announcing Namur’s appearance on Black Panther: Wakanda Foreverplayed by Tenoch Huerta.

Related: Black Panther Theory 2 explains why Namur is called God

At the premiere of the movie Black Panther: Wakanda ForeverKevin Feige spoke to reporters from Marvel Entertainment About Namur’s long journey to the big screen. Although he certainly had a hand in the final decision, he also gave credit to director Ryan Coogler for his decision to feature the character in Black Panther sequel and give him a stronger ethnic identity. Feige said:

Namur as Marvel fans know, is one, if not the original…and so, forever, it’s been on our lists. I remember 18 years ago putting it together, I think we commissioned a script 18 years ago, the timing was never right and the idea was never right. Ryan Coogler in the first movie begins a war between kingdoms. And if you really add cultural specificity to Namor, and that’s definitely what he did in this movie, it’s not Atlantis, it’s Talocan, and I can’t wait for people to meet Talocaneal and Namor.

Why was Namur worth the wait

As one of Marvel’s oldest characters, it seemed less of a question of whether Namur would join the MCU. Long-term speculation is rampant when it is introduced to the franchise, with many jumping on a simple line of Avengers: Endgame As proof of his presence in the world. However, pending its introduction so far, Marvel has been building up excitement for Namor’s debut, making his arrival Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Really exciting event. Early reactions to the film indicate that Namor is one of the highlights Wakanda forever, and appears to be due in part to the cultural specificity that Kolger sought to personalize. If it takes that long for Marvel to find a story and filmmaker who can do justice to Namor, the wait will probably be worth it.

 

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U.S. Senate candidates Patty Murray and Tiffany Smiley meet for final time before election in Seattle town hall

SEATTLE – In their last meeting before the Nov. 8 general election, U.S. Senate candidates Patty Murray and Tiffany Smiley continued to disagree on abortion, gun violence, climate change, student loan forgiveness and inflation.

The race could prove to be one of the closest for Washington’s U.S. Senate seat in recent years, with recent polls showing the gap between Murray, Washington’s 30-year incumbent and Smiley, a political newcomer from Pasco, is closing.

A Friday poll from KHQ-TV and The Spokesman-Review showed Murray with a 5-percentage-point lead, within the margin of error. A Trafalgar Group poll released Friday showed Murray leading Smiley by just over 1 percentage point. Other polls, such as the WA Poll conducted by the Seattle Times and other media outlets, show Murray up by 8 percentage points. National pollster Nate Silver at 538 shows Murray up by about 7 percentage points.

In their last appearance together, the candidates kept to most of their campaign talking points.

Smiley criticized Murray for not doing enough for Washington in her 30 years as a senator.

“Washington state deserves a fighter,” she said.

In an interview after the town hall, Murray acknowledged that people are frustrated with what’s happening in their lives right now. She said there is a lot at stake this election, pointing to her beliefs in protecting democracy and allowing a woman to make her own health care choices.

“These are the things I know I can bring to the United States Senate,” she said.

During the town hall, hosted by Seattle news station KIRO 7, candidates answered questions from an audience made up of representatives from a number of civic and nonprofit organizations. They included the League of Women Voters of Washington Education Fund, Northwest African American Museum and the Ethnic Chamber of Commerce Coalition.

It was the second meeting between the two candidates, following last week’s debate at Gonzaga University hosted by The Spokesman-Review and the League of Women Voters.

The town hall touched on topics that both candidates have already discussed, but also some they haven’t been as outspoken about, such as student loan forgiveness, immigration and climate change.

On student loan forgiveness, Murray said she supports steps President Joe Biden took to forgive up to $20,000 of student loans for borrowers across the country.

She said the country needs to re-evaluate the cost of college, and that she supports incentivizing states to pay for college, making community college free and revamping the student loan-forgiveness system.

Smiley said she does not support Biden’s student loan forgiveness, calling it “unfair” for people who did not go to college. She said she wants to expose more students to trade programs and other career pathways outside of college.

Smiley added she would encourage people to serve their country in the military, which offers loan forgiveness for students.

Murray criticized Smiley for being a climate change denier. In last week’s debate, Smiley did not answer whether she believed humans caused climate change.

On Sunday, Smiley fought back.

“I don’t know why Sen. Murray calls me a climate denier, because I’m not,” she said, adding she “absolutely” believes humans have a role in a changing climate.

On immigration, both candidates said they would support allowing a pathway to legal citizenship for current “Dreamers,” those who traveled to the United States as children and were protected from deportation by actions of the Barack Obama administration.

Murray said protections for Dreamers should be expanded, but Smiley said border security needs to improve before that happens.

Both candidates were asked who won the 2020 election and answered Joe Biden, but disagreed on how to work with those who distrust election results. Murray said she has won and lost elections.

“We count on and trust this democracy,” she said. “And we, after they’ve been certified, don’t question them.”

Smiley said it should be “easy to vote and hard to cheat” in the United States.

The candidates also talked about the issues that have become most important to them on the campaign trail, including abortion, crime and inflation.

Murray reiterated she supports codifying the legal protection for an abortion in the now-overturned Roe v. Wade decision and creating exemptions to the filibuster to do so.

When asked if she supported late-term abortions, Murray said again she would support legislation that codifies Roe v. Wade, but did not directly address late-term abortions.

Though she identifies as pro-life, Smiley has said she will not vote for a nationwide abortion ban as she believes the question should remain up to the states.

At Sunday’s debate, Smiley repeated that position. Smiley was asked about her support of the Texas abortion law that bans all abortions unless the patient is facing a life-threatening condition. The law criminalizes performing an abortion, and doctors who do so can face up to life in prison or a $100,000 fine.

“There are parts of the Texas law I do not like and I was clear about that,” Smiley said, though she didn’t specifically mention which parts she did not support.

Both candidates were asked how they would address crime and their interpretation of the Second Amendment.

Smiley said she supported the bill that Congress passed earlier this year that increased mental health resources, expanded background checks and strengthened red flag laws. Smiley did not say what other gun laws she might support, if elected, only that the country has a mental health and crime problem that needs to be addressed immediately.

In last week’s debate, Smiley said she wants to protect Second Amendment rights but also that weapons should be kept out of the hands of criminals.

Murray said she has worked to get funding for police officer retention and increase mental health resources. She said she supports further legislation to ban assault weapons and increase background checks.

On inflation, Smiley criticized Murray’s support of the American Rescue Plan, which Smiley said has caused record-high inflation. Economists disagree on the effect of the American Rescue Plan on inflation.

Smiley said the people of Washington need more than an electric vehicle voucher, for example, to help with inflation.

Murray pointed to the American Rescue Plan and the Inflation Reduction Act as ways she has helped work to reduce inflation. Throughout the campaign, Murray has pointed to her work in Congress most recently to lower costs, such as reducing costs for prescription drugs, insulin, Medicare and health insurance.

Murray said Sunday there needs to be more of a focus on child care and housing to address rising costs.

On rising gas prices specifically, Murray said she supports Biden’s view on using the strategic national oil reserve to help lower gas prices, though it is not a long-term solution.

In a post-town hall interview, Smiley said she does not support using the petroleum reserve as it would be “extremely dangerous.”

 

Latest News: CBN destroys over N6tn banknotes under Buhari

Jiokcareers Blog

The Central Bank of Nigeria is expected to have destroyed over N6tn worth of mutilated and old banknotes when the regime of the President, Major General Muhammadu Buhari, (retd) expires in May 2023, an analysis by The PUNCH has shown.

Already, data obtained from the annual reports of the currency operations department of the CBN between 2016 and 2020 showed that the apex bank destroyed mutilated banknotes worth N4.1tn during the five-year period. Our correspondent could not readily obtain data on the amount of mutilated banknotes disposed off by the central bank in 2021 and 2022 as of press time on Sunday.

However, the central bank is expected to destroy over 80 per cent of the N3.23tn banknotes currently in circulation as a result of its decision to redesign N100, N200, N500, and N1, 000 bills.

The move will bring the total amount of naira notes destroyed by the current administration to at least N6tn.

The CBN Governor, Godwin Emefiele, announced on Wednesday that the bank would release re-designed naira notes by December 15, 2022.

Emefiele made this announcement during a special press briefing in Abuja  where he gave reasons for the move.

According to the CBN governor, the move is aimed at controlling currency-in-circulation as well as curbing counterfeit currency and ransom payments to kidnappers and terrorists.

Meanwhile, a breakdown of the CBN data for the 2016-2020 period showed that in 2016, the apex bank destroyed the sum of N829.94bn in mutilated notes. In 2017, the sum of N977.23bn in mutilated banknotes was again destroyed by the CBN. The years 2018, 2019 and 2020 saw the destruction of N814.59bn, N814.44bn and N698.59bn banknotes, respectively.

Destruction gulps N3.88bn

In a related development, further findings showed that N3.88bn was spent by the CBN to destroy the N4.1tn mutilated banknotes disposed off between 2016 and 2020.

This followed an expenditure of N1.43bn spent on currency disposal in 2016, while the succeeding years of 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020 witnessed currency disposal costs of N594.6m, N662.2m, N647.8m and N538.5m, respectively.

The development came as some stakeholders continue to criticise the CBN over the plan to redesign the naira notes.

However, experts are divided over the move with some saying the action would worsen inflation.

Speaking on the amount of money spent by the apex bank to destroy old notes as well as the potential cost of printing the new naira notes that will take effect by December 15, 2022, a former Assistant Head of Research at the CBN, Professor Jonathan Aremu, faulted the decision of his former employers.

He said, “Changing of currency notes is not an essential monetary policy tool. Our CBN is part of politicians, so people may read this intention as political geometry for hidden reasons. I am yet to be convinced of the basis for this. Buhari did this in 1985 under his military regime, to do the same again under democratic governance is not clear.

“Some people have said it is part of monetary recklessness and prodigality since it will give opportunity for huge contract and expansion of money supply amid an inflation crisis being faced by the country.”

Similarly, an economic expert and a former member of the CBN’s Monetary Policy Committee, Professor Akpan Ekpo, described the move by the apex bank as ill-timed and one that would further fritter away the much-needed funds from the nation’s coffers.

According to him, the time constraint that will be involved in flushing out the currency-in-circulation will cause untold hardship to Nigerians living in rural communities with no access to banking facilities.

Ekpo said, “The cost will be very high. They are trying to mop up liquidity to curb inflation. The poor people in the villages, and the farmers will suffer because they don’t have access to banks. They will face a lot of hardship to go to the bank and queue up.

“There are elections coming up. The timing is not good. I don’t think it will have much impact. Our inflation is structural.”

Ekpo also slammed Emefiele for insisting that there was no legal obligation for him to consult anyone before taking the decision.

He added, “There are a lot of things that are not legalised. Normally, in economics, monetary and fiscal policy must coordinate for the good of the country. So, even if you don’t need to talk to anybody, you should let the Minister of Finance know what you are doing.

LCCI slams CBN

Also registering its dissatisfaction with the move by the CBN, the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry said redesigning the banknotes, which it said should not be a priority now, was a waste of the nation’s time and resources.

In a statement signed by its Director-General, Dr Chinyere Almona, the chamber said the organised private sector was already enduring a lot of disruptions in local forex supply, exchange rate, and interest rate shocks.

The statement read in part, “Information published in the annual report of the Currency Operations Department of the CBN reveals that the number of pieces of notes in circulation has exploded from 3.2 billion pieces in 2006, following the phased introduction of N100 to N1000 notes from December 1999 to December 2005, to more than 10 billion pieces of all notes as of 2020. More than five billion pieces of these were N100 to N1000 notes.

“Therefore, the CBN is proposing to redesign and replace five billion pieces of the highest four denomination notes, when the appropriate action to take is to coin N100 to N500 notes and replace them with about a billion pieces of larger denomination Naira notes to cut the monumental waste implicit in continuing to print pieces of low-value notes with a short lifespan.”

The chamber also predicted that the naira would likely experience more exchange pressures that might further weaken it against major currencies if more people decide to buy foreign currencies as an alternative store of value.

It added that the CBN needed to be more innovative to establish appropriate policies and take actions that would drive down the inflation rate and strengthen the value of our naira.

Similarly, the Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines, and Agriculture in a statement, described the move as a waste of resources.

The statement partly read, “This will certainly take some money to implement. But,  we believe the necessary resources have been expended for a good cause.”

CBN begins mop-up

Meanwhile, the CBN had said it would in the next 100 days mop up N3.23tn from circulation to tackle rising inflation.

Emefiele made the announcement during the special briefing in Abuja.

He said that of the N3.23tn cash-in-circulation as of September 2022, N2.73tn is outside the vault of banks.

Emefiele said both the funds within and outside the banking system would be mopped up beginning from last Wednesday to January 31, 2023, to the CBN’s vault to control rising inflation.

Experts said over 80 per cent of the N3.23tn would be destroyed, following the redesign of N1000, N500, N200 and N100 notes.

They said following the redesigning of the local currency, almost N3tn would be destroyed from the N3.23tn being mopped up

 Naira slumps again

Meanwhile, the naira maintained its downward trend as it traded 785 to the dollar on Friday. This happened barely a few days after the CBN announced its decision to begin the circulation of new banknotes in December.

Bureau de Change operators in Ikeja, Lagos and Abuja, who spoke to one of our correspondents, said the naira fell from 780/dollar to 785/dollar. They said they purchased the local currency for N775/dollar.

BDC operators at Allen, Ikeja, who identified himself as Alhaji Ibrahim Bello, said, “We are selling the dollar today at N785. I don’t know what it will be on Monday.”

Another Abuja BDC operator, simply identified as Sanni Gambo, said, “The dollar has been rising. It is N785 today.”

However, at the Investor & Exporter forex window, the naira hit a high of N447.75 before closing at N444.75.

The CBN maintained the official rate at N438.5 on its website.

Meanwhile, findings showed the country’s external reserves dropped by $1.16bn in five weeks amid forex injections by the CBN to defend the naira value.

An analysis of the movement of the foreign reserves on the CBN website showed that the reserves which stood at $38.92bn as of September 9, 2022, fell to $37.76bn as of October 18, 2022, showing the reserves lost $1.16bn within the period.

Buhari defends Emefiele

Meanwhile, Buhari on Sunday said that the decision of the CBN to launch new designs and replace high-value naira notes had his support and is convinced that the nation will gain a lot by doing so.

Speaking in a Hausa radio interview with the famous journalist Halilu Ahmed Getso, and Kamaluddeen Sani Shawai to be aired Wednesday Morning on Tambari TV on Nilesat, Buhari said reasons given to him by the CBN convinced him that the economy stood to benefit from a reduction in inflation, currency counterfeiting and the excess cash in circulation.

He said he did not consider the period of three months for the change to the new notes as being short.

‘’People with illicit money buried under the soil will have a challenge with this but workers, businesses with legitimate incomes will face no difficulties at all,’’ he said.

In the interview, the President also addressed issues of food security and national security, among others.

Reports Show Bear Market Didn’t Affect Crypto Fundamentals

 

Notably, the first half of the year brought the most drastic phase of crypto winter ever witnessed in the history of cryptocurrency. Coupled with the collapse of Terra and some crypto-related companies, the market was thrown into a state of crisis.

However, a report from Fidelity Digital Assets implies that the crypto fundamentals remained unscathed through the bearish trend. This information sprung following the manager’s annual report tagged 22 Institutional Investor Digital Assets Study. This occurred as the firm x-rayed the crypto industry from an institutional perspective.

According to the research, the crypto market has fully repositioned to wade off the impact of macroeconomics it’s been facing recently.

Survey Indicates Strength Of Crypto Fundamentals

Tom Jessop, the President of Fidelity Digital Assets, reacted to the research. According to him, digital fundamentals have stood firm through the storm. Also, he noted that the institutionalization of the crypto market for some years had fortified it to withstand recent impacts.

According to Jessop, institutional investors exhibited their experience scaling through different market cycles. He mentioned that the attractive factors in the market maintained their relevance as they moved across the bearish phase.

The research surveyed about 1,052 experts from different firms during the year’s first half. As a result, it revealed the varying levels of crypto adoption among different types of investors.

According to the survey, adoption among institutional investors increased in some regions compared to the year’s value. The US and Europe recorded an increase of 42% and 67%. Asian institutional investors have a slight drop. But the overall outcome showed that they had the highest adoption of crypto assets with an allocation of 69%.

In terms of investor type, crypto adoption and consideration topped among high-net-worth investors, venture capital investors, financial advisors, and crypto hedge funds. The lower-scale adoption investors are endowments and foundations, pension plans, family offices, and traditional hedge funds.

Fidelity Digital announced its provision of Ethereum trading options for its institutional market earlier this month.

Top Appealing Features For Institutional Investors

The research from Fidelity Digital also recorded some appealing features, as noted by institutional investors. The surveyed participants’ most appealing ones include innovation technology, decentralization, and high potential upsides.

According to the survey, the surveyed investors cited that crypto has no correlation to other assets as the fifth most appealing feature. But the crypto markets have shown a high correlation to tech stocks this year.

Additionally, the research covered investors’ plans for cryptocurrency investments or purchases. It noted that 74% of the participants still had such plans, slightly higher than the 71% recorded last year.

The value is commendable, considering that 2021 was bullish while the bears dominated the 2022 digital asset market.

Bitcoin volatility has eased but that’s not a bad thing

Representations of cryptocurrency Bitcoin are seen in this illustration, August 10, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

Dado Ruvic | Reuters

Bitcoin’s lack of volatility lately isn’t a bad thing and could actually point to signs of a “bottoming out” in prices, analysts and investors told CNBC.

Digital currencies have fallen sharply since a scorching run in 2021 which saw bitcoin climb as high as $68,990. But for the past few months, bitcoin’s price has bounced stubbornly around $20,000 in a sign that volatility in the market has settled.

Last week, the cryptocurrency’s 20-day rolling volatility fell below that of the Nasdaq and S&P 500 indexes for the first time since 2020, according to data from crypto research firm Kaiko.

Stocks and cryptocurrencies are both down sharply this year as interest rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve and a strengthening dollar weighed on the sector.

Bitcoin’s correlation with stocks has increased over time as more institutional investors have invested in crypto.

But bitcoin’s price has stabilized recently. And for some investors, that easing of volatility is a good sign.

“Bitcoin has essentially been range bound between 18-25K for 4 months now, which indicates consolidation and a potential bottoming out pattern, given we are seeing the Dollar index top out as well,” Vijay Ayyar, head of international at crypto exchange Luno, told CNBC in emailed comments.”

“In previous cases such as in 2015, we’ve seen BTC bottom when DXY has topped, so we could be seeing a very similar pattern play out here.”

Antoni Trenchev, co-founder of crypto lender Nexo, said bitcoin’s price stability was “a strong sign that the digital assets market has matured and is becoming less fragmented.”

An end to crypto winter?

Cryptocurrencies have suffered a brutal comedown this year, losing $2 trillion in value since the height of the 2021 rally. Bitcoin, the world’s biggest digital coin, is off around 70% from its November peak.

The current so-called “crypto winter” is largely the result of aggressive tightening from the Fed, which has been hiking interest rates in an effort to tame rocketing inflation. Large crypto investors with highly leveraged bets like Three Arrows Capital were floored by the pressure on prices, further accelerating the market’s drop.

However, some investors think the ice may now be beginning to thaw.

 

There are signs of an “accumulation phase,” according to Ayyar, when institutional investors are more willing to place bets on bitcoin given the lull in prices.

“Bitcoin being stuck in such a range does make it boring, but this is also when retail loses interest and smart money starts to accumulate,” Ayyar said.

Matteo Dante Perruccio, president of international at digital asset management firm Wave Financial, said he’s seen a “counterintuitive increase in demand of traditional institutional investors in crypto during what is a time where generally you would see interest fall off in the traditional markets.”

Financial institutions have continued taking steps into crypto despite the fall in prices and waning interest from retail investors.

Mastercard announced a service that allows banks to offer crypto trading, having previously launched a new blockchain security tool for card issuers. Visa, meanwhile, teamed up with crypto exchange FTX to offer debit cards linked to users’ trading accounts.

Goldman Sachs suggested we may be close to the end of a “particularly bearish” period in the latest cycle of crypto movements. In a note released Thursday, analysts at the bank said there were parallels with bitcoin’s trading in Nov. 2018, when prices steadied for a while before rising steadily.

Read more about tech and crypto from CNBC Pro

“Low volatility [in Nov. 2018] was following a large bitcoin bear market,” Goldman’s analysts wrote, adding that “crypto QT” (quantitative tightening) occurred as investors poured out of stablecoins like tether, reducing liquidity. The circulating supply of USD Coin — a stablecoin that’s pegged to the U.S. dollar — has fallen $12 billion since June, while tether’s circulating supply has dropped over $14 billion since May.

Selling pressure has slowed, too, as bitcoin miners reduced their sales of the cryptocurrency, suggesting the worst may be over for the mining space. Publicly-traded bitcoin miners sold 12,000 bitcoins in June and only around 3,000 in September, according to Goldman Sachs.

Wave Financial’s Perruccio expects the second quarter of next year to be the time when crypto winter finally comes to an end.

“We’ll have seen a lot more failures in the DeFi [decentralized finance] space, a lot of the smaller players, which is absolutely necessary for the industry to evolve,” he added.

All eyes on the Fed

James Butterfill, head of research at crypto asset management firm CoinShares, said it was difficult to draw too many conclusions at this stage. However, he added, “we err on the side of greater potential for upside rather than further price falls.”

“The largest fund outflows recently have been in short-Bitcoin positions (US$15m this month, 10% of AuM), while we have seen small but uninterrupted inflows into long Bitcoin over the last 6 weeks,” Butterfill told CNBC via email.

The main thing that would lead to greater buying of bitcoin would be a signal from the Federal Reserve that it plans to ease its aggressive tightening, Butterfill said.

The Fed is expected to hike rates by 75 basis points at its meeting next week, but officials at the central bank are reportedly considering slowing the pace of future increases.

“Clients are telling us that once the Fed pivots, or is close to it, they will begin adding positions to Bitcoin,” Butterfill said. “The recent liquidations of net shorts is in sync with what we are seeing from a fund flows perspective and implies short sellers are beginning to capitulate.

Go Spiritual India & Approach Entertainment Launch Blanket Donation Campaign

Charitable Spiritual Organization, Go Spiritual India &  Award-Winning Celebrity Management & Films Productions Company, Approach Entertainment launched Blankets Donation Campaign in North India again as the winter season has arrived in North India. The campaign has been launched with an objective to mobilize blankets, clothes, and food donation drives for the homeless in major cities of North India. Go Spiritual India has been running the blanket donation campaign since 2017.

The campaign will spread awareness about the plight of the homeless & destitute in winters and motivate people to donate blankets, clothes & food themselves, or inform Go Spiritual India to arrange Blankets for the needy. Approach Communications is handling PR, Digital & Communications for the Blanket donation drive while Approach Entertainment is working on the production of videos, mobilization through celebrities & influencers, events, and related activities.

Go Spiritual India is a Charitable Spiritual organization working for Philanthropy, Spiritual Awareness, Charity, Mental Health, Wellness, Organic, Spiritual Tourism, Events, Media, and Social Causes. The spiritual organization has been running food donation & hunger eradication programs for the last 5 years. The organization is launching Go Spiritual India Digital Magazine soon and it will be followed by Go Spiritual India Print Magazine & Go Spiritual India TV. A spiritual life necessarily entails selfless charity work as with spiritual growth comes the realization that all the Atma (souls) are equal part and parcel of the same Param Atma (that is divine supreme being). In fact, ancient Hindu scriptures clearly make it obligatory on one’s part to be generous. Go Spiritual India is a spiritual organization that promotes not only spiritual evolution but also actively participates in charity work.

Go Spiritual India has appealed to all, to come forward and donate blankets or help donate blankets to the homeless people during the winter months in collaboration with Go Spiritual India. The donations can be in cash or kind or even through participation on a volunteer basis.

In addition, Go Spiritual India also encourages people to take up this cause on their own and distribute blankets in their respective areas and regions as the objective is to ensure help to as many people as possible by reaching out to them in whatever way is possible. Go Spiritual India blanket donation drive is being supported by Approach Entertainment & Approach Communications.

 For the past few years, Go Spiritual India has been also engaged in the distribution of blankets especially to the poor and homeless people during the winter months. Though there are no official records of country-wide deaths due to harsh winters every year in the country, some data collected by some NGOs suggests that more than 512 persons had died in 2021 due to winters in Delhi alone and thousands died in the country.

Even in the year 2020-21 winters, thousands died due to winters. According to the 2011 census, there were 17.33 crores homeless people in India and this figure in 2022 is estimated to be at least 26 crores. Even if it is assumed that half of them may be living in North India where the winters are rather harsh, it is easy to imagine the plight of the homeless people every winter.

Go Spiritual India’s campaign to distribute blankets for the homeless persons in North India is aimed at saving as many lives as possible in the country and therefore every winter, this campaign has been taken on a serious note by the Go Spiritual India team and volunteers. Last year it was done with the help of Go Spiritual India volunteers in Delhi, Jalandhar, Jaipur, Ghaziabad, Noida, Gurgaon, Chandigarh, Shimla and Ludhiana. This year, Go Spiritual India plans to do it even on a larger scale and will cover all cities of North India. The volunteer team is also motivating people to donate blankets and food for the homeless and destitute themselves.

Go Spiritual India Organization, an initiative launched by Sonu Tyagi and his company Approach Entertainment is dedicated to charity and spiritual work. For the past few years, it has taken serious endeavors towards charity.  It was actively engaged in the distribution of free food to the needy during the lockdown when the poor had no means to even earn their basic meals. During the winters, Go Spiritual had launched an initiative to distribute blankets to the homeless people for whom the streets are home, particularly in Northern India, where the winters are rather harsh!

Go Spiritual India has appealed to all, to come forward and donate blankets or help donate blankets to the homeless people during the winter months in collaboration with Go Spiritual India. The donations can be in cash or kind or even through participation as a volunteer.

Approach Entertainment is an award-winning Celebrity Management & Films Productions company offering integrated expertise-based solutions in Celebrity Management, Films Productions, Advertising & Corporate Films Productions, Films Marketing, Events & Entertainment Marketing services.

Approach Communications is a Leading PR & Integrated Communications agency working for the Corporate, Healthcare, Entertainment, Finance, Education, Social sectors. The media & communications group is headed by award-winning writer-director Sonu Tyagi who has a background in Journalism & the advertising world. Approach Communications is handling PR & Communications for the Blanket donation drive while Approach Entertainment is working on the production of videos, mobilization through celebrities & influencers, events, and related activities. The fast-growing media & communications group has operations in Mumbai, New Delhi, Gurugram, Goa, Kolkata, Dehradun, Chandigarh, Hyderabad & Jalandhar. Approach Entertainment Group also has a Bollywood Newswire & Content Dissemination unit, Approach Bollywood.

Empowering Positive Leadership throughout the Organization – Allow teams to have opportunity and autonomy

Allow teams to have opportunity and autonomy

“Empowerment should be a part of every leader’s toolkit. It strengthens everyone in the organization, it keeps the company on the path to success, and it builds one of the most important elements on any team – trust.” —Colin Powell, from It Worked for Me in Life and Leadership

In my previous article (“Leading from Abundance – The Power of Positivity,” In Business Magazine, September 2022), the topic was the notion of the power of positive leadership and its impact on the success of the organization. Leadership positivity and leading from abundance is only one aspect of how a leader can grow the organization with the intent of driving impact in meaningful, opportunistic ways. Creating positive leadership among all employees is a terrific goal, but how does that occur? How do positive leadership principles permeate throughout the organization? Let’s begin. 

Building leadership is the key ingredient to helping build one’s team and impact one’s productivity. Often, the organizational structure can impose the philosophy on the direction of the team, suffocating any opportunity for creativity and positivity to flourish. Allowing teams the opportunity and autonomy is the first step. People in general feel suffocated when they have little latitude to do the things they feel are necessary to work toward the goal. Eliminating that obstacle will enable groups to understand more clearly what is needed and allow them to dream of possible outcomes in new and exciting ways. Leaders should encourage teams within to engage in those discussions without intimidation or hesitance to speak up and, for the moment, worry less about process and budget. Passing the power to the teams allows them the opportunity to do just that. Team empowerment is the key to positive engagement.

Next is to solicit and care about the input from the team. Often, we facilitate brainstorm sessions to “engage” everyone in the process. While at first glance intentions are good, we often walk away and do something entirely different and don’t incorporate the thoughts of the participants. That alone breeds a negativity toward the organization’s goals and direction and insults those who participated as being a complete time waster. It immediately robs everyone of a feeling of empowerment! Corey Wong is a Grammy-nominated American guitarist, bassist, songwriter and producer. His background spans genres jazz, rock and funk. When Cory performs with the band, it’s obvious early on that he is the leader of the group, while also empowering each bandmember to add the elements needed to produce a quality performance. Cory clearly confesses that the music is not about him but about the collective power each member brings to the sound. You can see by the smiles on the musicians faces and interaction with each other that they thoroughly enjoy their effort and appreciate the value that Cory’s empowerment brings to the group’s success and the trust that is created.

True empowerment creates a level of trust that instills confidence in the staff of any organization and allows the team to flourish. No one leads an organization to success on their own. It is the collective excellence of many that builds success. All of us lead based on the considerable work of everyone on the team who has labored, contributed and committed to the same commonly stated goals.

As Colin Powell has stated, “Trust from leader to led, and trust between everyone on the team. Empowerment invests in people, and there is no greater ROI in any profession!” Leaders can start now to engage and empower their teams, and begin building a positive future.  

Bruce WeberBruce Weber is founder and president/CEO at Weber Group. Weber brings more than 20 years of experience to the for-profit and nonprofit community, working with startup, growth and mature organizations. His focus is in strengthening organizations through strategic planning, organizational development, leadership and board development. He is a BoardSource Certified Governance trainer and a founding partner of the Nonprofit Lifecycles Institute.